Dale Revels Special Guest Analysis for Belmont Card

Here is my guest Blog post.  for KINGLARRYPICKS WINNERS , Belmont Day 2014

 

 I would Add that CC won the last graded stakes at Hollywood Park on December 26th , 2013

His trainer rode the great horse SWAPS . , There is a Mojo that can not and will not be stopped.

So Today we shall crown a Champion for the Ages and the racing Gods will smile down and wish us mortal humans more Great Athletes to compete in the sport of Kings, Save travels for all and may all your Photo finishes be Winning Ones. . 

Matt Scott puts it together on the next paragraph ,

Matt Scott - California Chrome will win the Triple Crown for a multitude of reasons that you'll likely hear from a multitude of people, but here's my belief: He's destined to do it. Aside from his seemingly uncapped talent, he's disproved every conventional "guideline" that suggests a horse of his breeding, with his owners, and his trainer should never have made it this far. Chrome is transforming a sport that merely weeks ago was on its knees praying for a hero. He's outrunning every disbeliever that says he can't, or shouldn't do it, and his connections have remained nothing but humble in the process. The sport wants Chrome to win. The sport needs Chrome to win. I want Chrome to win, and I truly believe that he will. And if you need any more supernatural, superstitious, "don't change your socks or shave for 5 weeks" type of weirdness, this is Tom Durkin's last year to call a Triple Crown winner, and there's no other person we should hear as a horse breaks the drought

 

 

Also Bens Cat continues to terrorize the east coast turf at Eight years Old, Single him in the early pick four.

Race 5 ,

Dale Revels

146th Belmont Stakes

Good Morning Race Fans!

We are in the midst of seeing a triple crown winner today! California Chrome continues to quiet the nay sayers and fuels them to give excuses for this horses because he KEEPS WINNING! I want to reiterate that this horse is a freak of nature. It has been a pleasure to watch this horse through his career and I hope that he fires today.

Who I like for this race:

Chrome is already a given here but I like other horses as well. My top graded horse to pose a possible upset is Commanding Curve, Ride on Curlin and Wicked Strong. 

I like Commanding Curve because of the lay off and I like that way he has been working out. His closing style should be game here with the added distance and I think he will rate well. I also like the connections here with Trainer and Jockey who yield a 25% return in the money. Every time Bridgemohan rides this horse he gets the best out of him and closes. Beyer speeds when ridden 77, 80, 94... Steady improvement and along with rest, this horse can be there.

Ride on Curlin gets my approval here as well. I wasn't a big fan in the derby of this horse because of his lack luster Arkansas Derby and the fact that I thought there was better horses in that Kentucky Derby field. What I have learned from this horse is that he is a competitor on the track. I think we have seen his best race in the Preakness though. Should be in the money.

Wicked Strong is my next play at chrome.I think he has a bad trip in the derby and still managed 4th. I like the lay off and the familiarity of the track at Belmont. My then thought best horse on the East Coast Samraat was beat by this horse twice in the row and I have to give him respect. I like his closing speed and I'd expect him to be in the middle of the pack to close.

Horses for 3rd or 4th place money:

Samratt, Matterhorn, Tonalist

Samratt  is coming off a layoff and has been working sensationally. I really think this horse could be in the money. Distance is the issue for me however if he races the race of his life I think 3rd or 4th place could be possible.

Matterhorn 

While everyone will rave about Tonalist I'd look at the 4th place finisher here in this race, Matterhorn. He has a good late kick down the stretch in the slop. I like this horses Bloodlines with a Tapit influence and his Jockey/Trainer percentages are good, yielding 24 % YTD in the money. This is a Pletcher colt and this horse was very expensive at $625,000 for initial purchase.

Tonalist while this horse has great speed my concern is that the peter pan was a FLUKE. How could you say this horse is a main competitor if his most impressive race was in the slop?? To me, that isn't good enough, however 4th or 5th would be inline for me with this horse. In the video below from the race before the peter pan, this horse looked like an average horse with no kick at Gulfstream Park when he was beat by Constitution, Who if raced, I would of picked in all my tickets. With the closers in the field, I think this horse gets left in the dust but could complete some exotic tickets.

Click here to see video of that race: 

http://youtu.be/Oss8GSiRY3w

My bets for race will be

$2 tri $120

2,4,7,9/2,4,7,9/2,3,4,5,7,9,11

$1 super $120

2,4,9/2,4,9/2,3,4,5,7,9,11/2,3,4,5,7,9,11 

$2 WIN

California Chrome

139 Preakness Stakes and Under card

Good Morning to the few that follow!

I was looking at the under card and the Preakness and I noticed that there is a significant presents of Turf races leading up to the main event. After reading some articles on how Pimlico drains, I am good understanding that the track will be playing fast, however, the turf will be moist and extremely soft due to the rain on Thursday and Friday. That said, be weary of the "for sure" bets on the turf on the under card because Pimlico turf course does not drain well.

Preakness overview:

California Chrome is once again looking like he is the one to beat! We need to pay homage to this horse because of the dominating performances he has had against the cream of the crop of his generation. This horse is the real deal and to think that his father never won a race past 5 1/2 furlongs and his mothers only win was at a mile and 70 yards in her maiden. This horse is a true FREAK of nature and is going to see a lot of action at the windows and is very well deserved.

I also like Social Inclusion to be an upset pick or a solid second if not 3rd this race. Although lightly raced, this horse has came on to the scene as the top horse and proven he can hang with the fractions with Chrome. Horse is very impressive and I like him a lot. Also, I am starting to like Kid Cruz, this horse is a true closer and in my opinion the best closer in the field, better than Ride on Curlin who has a good change in rider with Rosario. Kid Cruz has dominating, Animal Kingdom like closing ability and could have the race play out in his favor. My only concern is that his races have been at slow paces and the pace today will be faster. Check out this stakes race at laurel where he comes from last to first....

I also like Bayern under the training of HOF trainer Bobby Baffert. Bob Baffert is 5 for 14 at the Preakness Stakes. He opts to keep Rosie on board, which they yield a little over 50 % in hitting in the money together. Bayern likes to be in the front but the equipment change to get the blinkers off suggest that Bayern will be with Chrome off the expected fast pace. Ria Antonia is my live longshot here. Why? She is the class of the field and Thomas Amoss is a hot trainer this year. After coming from HOF Bafferts barn, Amoss has this horse working out sensationally and its telling me that this horse is ready. I like him for 3rd or 4th but will get a good price on him.

My plays for today on this race:

Tri box: 2,3,5,7,8

Super keys: pick of the day 1a)3/ 7, 8/ 1, 2, 3, 5, 6, 7, 8, 10/ ALL......... Heavy Loaded  1B) 3/ 8/ 5, 10,/ 5, 6, 7, 10 (super)

UNDER CARD Plays:

Late Pick 4: 

9) 3,5,7,9,10

10) 2,3,6,10

11) 3,4,6,7,9

12) 3,8

Race 13...I have been following horse named Nevesky from Philly Park.. 12-1 morning line.. Maybe a value play there.

Good luck to all!!

Happy Mothers Day Race Fans.. Here's my Belmont stake picks (5/11/2014 (

Good day to you race fans and happy mothers day to the mothers out there.  A very special mothers day to my mother Augie, who is with me right now at a restaurand.

Here are my Belmont picks from a far:

Race 3:

The Pletcher horses should be 1 and 2 with by favorite or bullet being the 4 horse with the 3 second.  I like the way the 1 hose has been working out and Zito might have this horse ready to upset the field.

Races 7-9:

7) 4, 5, 8, 9.... Love the way the 4 has been working.
8) 2, 6, 4.... I'm throwing out the 5 because I think the horse is on a decline.
9) 2, 3, 7....I love the fact the 3 is working out at Payson. Payson has a deep stretch and bodes well for belmont tracks.

Good luck players!

Blake's Magic (Race 7 Santa Anita May 9, 2014)

I watched this horse the past 4 performances. This horse is use to 2nd and 3rd place finishes at Santa Anita. I feel like this horse is due and will get in the winning circle. He like to come off the pace and lets hope the pace isn't too fast for him to not win the race. Non the less, I like this horse to win!

This ones for you BLAKE :)

Who is Larry and why should I follow his picks?

Hi - I'm Larry Pirollo but my friends call me Larry the Handicapper. I have done pretty well for myself up to date with horse racing. I work full time and in my off time I follow the great sport of horse racing.

A little bit about me:

I was an athlete growing up in playing football since I was 6 years old. My career ended at the age of 22, however, football has brought me to places in my life that I would of never of imagined in going. I have reached some success in football in earning All State and All American Honors from the state of Florida and All American Honors from college in Illinois. In saying that, I know how hard it took for training and the work needed to be on the top of my respective sport. I was born in NE Philadelphia, raised in Ventnor, NJ, lived in Orlando for 10 plus years and had short stays in Chicago and Springfield, Ill.

Horse Racing:

I look at horse racing like the game of football; these horses are like athletes. They are regularly worked out similar to football players working out for games. Horses are incredibly competitive and intelligent. Also like football, it is a total team effort for horses to succeed. Why? It starts at the top with the Owners and Breeders; common traits are passion and dedication that the team is equipped with the best tools to make a horse successful. A horse will need a good trainer and stablemates (teammates) to push the horse to its limits in every workout to be at its very best on race day. Lastly, the jockey plays a part in relating to horses, knowing how to maneuver through a race and to push the horse to its limits for the win. I was introduced to horse racing by my Dad and Uncle. I can say that all 3 of us LOVE this sport equally and talk about the ponies on occasion during the course of the week. I am sure they will contribute in some way to this blog and as well as my good friend Dale, who loves horse racing like the 3 of us. So stay tuned!

Handicapping:

By now you know that my love is football, horse racing but there is a 3rd component and that is Business. I am in corp. America and I love numbers and I love to trend. If you really think about it, handicapping is TRENDING. Your trending on a horse progression, how he/she moves during a race on certain distances, times at points in the race, workouts, where the horse likes to race and surfaces. Also I tend to look at percentages and connections. If my trending and calculations are close between a group of horses, the tie breaker to me is the percentages of wins, trainer percentages and bloodlines of a horse. I also watch video on horses past performances because I want to see if a horse has what it takes in effort and drive in his/her kick during the course of a race. So to circle back, I look at these horses like athletes and I watch film on them and lastly I love to trend them.

Results

I have done very well in the past 8 years of doing this. To be clear I DON'T bet everyday nor do I try to. I just love this sport and I pick and choose my spots. I am a stakes handicapper and tend to do very well. Reason is because I like to handicap the BEST horses with good competition throughout the field. The past 5 years, I have hit all the Triple Crown races with a very healthy net earnings.I will encourage all that know me to post testimonials to speak to this.

Goal

I want to keep awareness of this great sport. I've always wanted to get into horse racing in anyway shape or form, however, it is challenging to do so. Every person that I know always have told me to do something like this so here it is! Hopefully we can get a lot of followers to get some recognition and to most importantly MAKE SOME MONEY$$$!!!!