I was looking at the under card and the Preakness and I noticed that there is a significant presents of Turf races leading up to the main event. After reading some articles on how Pimlico drains, I am good understanding that the track will be playing fast, however, the turf will be moist and extremely soft due to the rain on Thursday and Friday. That said, be weary of the "for sure" bets on the turf on the under card because Pimlico turf course does not drain well.
Preakness overview:
California Chrome is once again looking like he is the one to beat! We need to pay homage to this horse because of the dominating performances he has had against the cream of the crop of his generation. This horse is the real deal and to think that his father never won a race past 5 1/2 furlongs and his mothers only win was at a mile and 70 yards in her maiden. This horse is a true FREAK of nature and is going to see a lot of action at the windows and is very well deserved.
I also like Social Inclusion to be an upset pick or a solid second if not 3rd this race. Although lightly raced, this horse has came on to the scene as the top horse and proven he can hang with the fractions with Chrome. Horse is very impressive and I like him a lot. Also, I am starting to like Kid Cruz, this horse is a true closer and in my opinion the best closer in the field, better than Ride on Curlin who has a good change in rider with Rosario. Kid Cruz has dominating, Animal Kingdom like closing ability and could have the race play out in his favor. My only concern is that his races have been at slow paces and the pace today will be faster. Check out this stakes race at laurel where he comes from last to first....
I also like Bayern under the training of HOF trainer Bobby Baffert. Bob Baffert is 5 for 14 at the Preakness Stakes. He opts to keep Rosie on board, which they yield a little over 50 % in hitting in the money together. Bayern likes to be in the front but the equipment change to get the blinkers off suggest that Bayern will be with Chrome off the expected fast pace. Ria Antonia is my live longshot here. Why? She is the class of the field and Thomas Amoss is a hot trainer this year. After coming from HOF Bafferts barn, Amoss has this horse working out sensationally and its telling me that this horse is ready. I like him for 3rd or 4th but will get a good price on him.
My plays for today on this race:
Tri box: 2,3,5,7,8
Super keys: pick of the day 1a)3/ 7, 8/ 1, 2, 3, 5, 6, 7, 8, 10/ ALL......... Heavy Loaded 1B) 3/ 8/ 5, 10,/ 5, 6, 7, 10 (super)
UNDER CARD Plays:
Late Pick 4:
9) 3,5,7,9,10
10) 2,3,6,10
11) 3,4,6,7,9
12) 3,8
Good luck to all!!